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Where the odds are mispriced today

Each line compares the best price on offer with the fair price the rest of the market implies. Prices move, so an edge belongs to the price and the moment it was read.

Prices read 01.11 06:15 UTC

Today's coupon 01.11

Five selections, published at the price they were quoted at. Every one is settled from the result and kept in the record below.

Match startMatch OutcomeChance Best priceBookmaker
Amed SK – Eyüpspor Amed SK 75% 1.30 GTbets
Como – Venezia Como 72% 1.34 1xBet
Trabzonspor – Gazişehir Gaziantep Trabzonspor 74% 1.32 GTbets
Real Racing Club de Santander – Real Madrid Real Madrid 79% 1.26 1xBet
Lyon – Angers Lyon 68% 1.44 1xBet
Combined price 4.17
All five land 21.6%
100 returns 417
Fair price 4.63 -9.8%

This is not a sure thing, and nothing on this page says it is. A bet that cannot lose covers every outcome of ONE match; putting five matches together does the opposite and multiplies the risk. The combined price and the real chance of it landing are both printed above, and the consensus line shows what the same five would pay without the bookmaker's margin.

What the selections have returned

settled from results since 2026-10-14

Single picks

35/207 landed

-13.33 units, flat stakes of 1

-6.4% return on turnover

Coupons

1/7 landed

-0.79 units, flat stakes of 1

-11.3% return on turnover

One unit on every selection, settled at the price shown on the day. No staking plan, no selective counting: a record that only reports its winners is not a record.

Prices above fair value

Ligue 1 - France ·

Paris Saint Germain – Troyes

Draw

Best price
10.50 Tipico
Fair price
9.20
Difference from fair price
+14.1%
19 bookmakers
Lowest margin 1.8%

UEFA Champions League ·

Slavia Praha – Arsenal

Home: Slavia Praha

Best price
10.50 Unibet (NL)
Fair price
9.22
Difference from fair price
+13.9%
21 bookmakers
Lowest margin 1.7%

Dutch Eredivisie ·

SC Cambuur – PSV Eindhoven

Home: SC Cambuur

Best price
8.50 Unibet (NL)
Fair price
7.47
Difference from fair price
+13.9%
15 bookmakers
Lowest margin 2.6%

UEFA Champions League ·

LASK – ŠK Slovan Bratislava

Away: ŠK Slovan Bratislava

Best price
7.80 → 7.66 Matchbook betting exchange price, after commission
Fair price
6.76
Difference from fair price
+13.4%
21 bookmakers
Lowest margin 1.1%

Serie A - Italy ·

Como – Venezia

Away: Venezia

Best price
10.00 Unibet (SE)
Fair price
8.86
Difference from fair price
+12.8%
24 bookmakers
Lowest margin 1.6%

Primeira Liga - Portugal ·

Sporting Lisbon – Moreirense FC

Away: Moreirense FC

Best price
15.00 Coolbet
Fair price
13.39
Difference from fair price
+12.0%
15 bookmakers
Lowest margin 4.0%

UEFA Champions League ·

Barcelona – Aston Villa

Away: Aston Villa

Best price
11.50 1xBet
Fair price
10.29
Difference from fair price
+11.8%
21 bookmakers
Lowest margin 1.4%

La Liga - Spain ·

Villarreal – Getafe

Away: Getafe

Best price
7.10 Betsson
Fair price
6.38
Difference from fair price
+11.2%
17 bookmakers
Lowest margin 1.6%

Turkey Super League ·

Trabzonspor – Gazişehir Gaziantep

Draw

Best price
7.40 → 7.27 Betfair betting exchange price, after commission
Fair price
6.55
Difference from fair price
+10.9%
21 bookmakers
Lowest margin 1.8%

Turkey Super League ·

Trabzonspor – Gazişehir Gaziantep

Away: Gazişehir Gaziantep

Best price
10.50 → 10.31 Matchbook betting exchange price, after commission
Fair price
9.40
Difference from fair price
+9.7%
21 bookmakers
Lowest margin 1.8%

La Liga - Spain ·

Valencia – Real Madrid

Home: Valencia

Best price
8.50 Unibet (SE)
Fair price
7.77
Difference from fair price
+9.3%
18 bookmakers
Lowest margin 1.4%

Bundesliga - Germany ·

FSV Mainz 05 – Bayern Munich

Home: FSV Mainz 05

Best price
6.10 Unibet (SE)
Fair price
5.58
Difference from fair price
+9.2%
20 bookmakers
Lowest margin 1.5%

Sets of prices that cover every outcome

Bundesliga - Germany ·

VfB Stuttgart – Werder Bremen

Outcome Best priceBookmaker Share of the total stake
Home 1.55 Codere (IT) 65.6%
Draw 5.50 Unibet (SE) 18.5%
Away 6.40 Unibet (SE) 15.9%

Return on the three bets: +1.71%

UEFA Champions League ·

LASK – ŠK Slovan Bratislava

Outcome Best priceBookmaker Share of the total stake
Home 1.50 1xBet 67.6%
Draw 5.30 Unibet (SE) 19.1%
Away 7.80 → 7.66 Matchbook 13.2%

Return on the three bets: +1.43% betting exchange price, after commission.

UEFA Champions League ·

Feyenoord – Inter Milan

Outcome Best priceBookmaker Share of the total stake
Home 4.51 1xBet 22.5%
Draw 4.51 1xBet 22.5%
Away 1.86 → 1.84 Betfair 55.1%

Return on the three bets: +1.32% betting exchange price, after commission.

La Liga - Spain ·

Real Racing Club de Santander – Real Madrid

Outcome Best priceBookmaker Share of the total stake
Home 13.00 Unibet (NL) 7.8%
Draw 8.60 → 8.45 Betfair 12.0%
Away 1.26 1xBet 80.2%

Return on the three bets: +1.12% betting exchange price, after commission.

Ligue 1 - France ·

Paris FC – AS Monaco

Outcome Best priceBookmaker Share of the total stake
Home 2.62 → 2.59 Betfair 39.0%
Draw 3.63 1xBet 27.8%
Away 3.05 Unibet (SE) 33.1%

Return on the three bets: +1.07% betting exchange price, after commission.

UEFA Champions League ·

Borussia Dortmund – Real Betis

Outcome Best priceBookmaker Share of the total stake
Home 1.80 1xBet 56.1%
Draw 4.50 → 4.43 Matchbook 22.8%
Away 4.80 Unibet (SE) 21.1%

Return on the three bets: +1.05% betting exchange price, after commission.

Every fixture read

MatchMatch start 1X2Lowest margin
Amed SK – Eyüpspor 1.306.7214.001.9%
FC Zwolle – ADO Den Haag 2.383.833.202.5%
Como – Venezia 1.346.3510.001.6%
Getafe – Sevilla 3.603.132.561.5%
Basaksehir – Samsunspor 1.854.094.601.7%
Trabzonspor – Gazişehir Gaziantep 1.327.4010.501.8%
Excelsior – FC Twente Enschede 6.504.901.532.5%
SC Telstar – FC Utrecht 3.053.922.382.2%
Strasbourg – Auxerre 1.894.164.501.6%
Lazio – Cagliari 1.494.877.701.5%
Frosinone – Torino 2.214.013.401.5%
Union Berlin – 1. FC Köln 2.843.782.651.5%
Real Racing Club de Santander – Real Madrid 13.008.601.261.7%
Arouca – Nacional 1.833.945.102.0%
Groningen – Sparta Rotterdam 1.824.344.352.7%
Kasimpasa SK – Besiktas JK 6.004.601.662.7%
Paris FC – AS Monaco 2.623.633.051.6%
Lyon – Angers 1.445.288.201.5%
Eintracht Frankfurt – Hamburger SV 1.604.935.901.4%
Liverpool – Arsenal 2.983.492.551.6%
Lecce – Genoa 3.753.202.401.6%
Elche CF – Valencia 2.483.503.301.5%
Académico de Viseu – Rio Ave FC 1.933.664.602.2%
CS Maritimo – Santa Clara 3.653.202.362.0%
Marseille – Toulouse 2.044.103.751.7%
Juventus – Napoli 2.433.403.551.5%
Athletic Bilbao – Real Sociedad 2.203.773.701.7%
Braga – Famalicão 1.743.805.901.6%
Genclerbirligi SK – Alanyaspor 2.783.422.803.1%
Sassuolo – Fiorentina 3.003.822.431.6%
Lorient – Brest 2.563.403.151.6%
Atalanta BC – Parma 1.564.687.001.6%
Newcastle United – Everton 2.463.753.101.7%
Deportivo La Coruña – CA Osasuna 2.283.453.851.6%
Benfica – Alverca 1.198.4017.502.2%
Gil Vicente – Vitória SC 2.983.252.694.0%
Galatasaray – VfB Stuttgart 2.334.253.101.6%
Shakhtar Donetsk – Sporting Lisbon 3.903.962.051.7%
Manchester United – AS Roma 2.444.102.851.5%
Barcelona – Aston Villa 1.297.8011.501.4%

Articles

All articles
Line movement: what a price moving before kick-off is telling you A price that drifts or shortens in the hours before a match is not random. Reading why it moved — money, news, or a sharp correction — tells you more about the fixture than the number itself. The closing line: the one benchmark that tells you if a bet was good Whether a single bet won or lost says almost nothing about whether it was a good bet. The price you took against the closing line does — and it is the one measure sharp bettors actually track. The favourite-longshot bias: why short prices are worse value than they look Across most football markets, short-priced favourites are systematically overbet and long shots are systematically backed for too little. Reading the board with that in mind changes which prices look like value.

Bonuses

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How this is worked out

  1. A price of 2.50 implies a 1 in 2.50 chance, which is 40%.
  2. One book's three prices imply more than 100% between them. The excess is its margin.
  3. Removing each book's own margin and averaging what is left across the other books gives the fair price for an outcome.
  4. An exchange price is counted after 2% commission, because that is what it pays.

A gap above fair value is not a prediction: it says one price is better than the market consensus, at the time shown. Prices move within minutes, stakes can be limited or refused, and a fair price built from bookmakers can be wrong together.