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What happened, and where it shows up in a price

Short pieces on the news that moves football markets, written from reporting and read against the odds.

Three coupons, three losses: what a 70% leg really means Saturday's two coupons each landed four legs out of five. Sunday's landed three. Nothing about that is bad luck, and the record says so. Champions League, 20-21 October: where the prices sit Eighteen fixtures, read before a single line-up is known. The margins are the thinnest of the week, and three outsiders are priced above fair. Reading a price before the team news lands The board reads this week's Champions League and league fixtures days before the line-ups are known. That gap between the opening price and kick-off is where most of the readable value sits. Comparing bookmakers cuts the margin from 1.57% to 0.70% Across 97 fixtures read this morning, the cheapest single bookmaker charged 1.57% to take a bet. Taking the best price for each outcome brought that down to 0.70%. Prices above fair value: 22 away wins, 12 home wins, 7 draws 41 prices on the board sat above the fair price the rest of the market implied. 22 of them were away wins. The draw, the market everyone calls forgotten, had seven. Arteta to 2030: what a five-year deal at Arsenal actually signals The champions have tied themselves to their manager for five more years. That is a commitment, not a reward. David Silva is playing again at 40, in the Hong Kong Premier League The former Manchester City midfielder has come out of retirement to join Sha Tin. Could Manchester City play in the Champions League even if relegated? Senior figures in the English game are worried that a financial-rules relegation might not keep City out of Europe. Saudi Arabia end a 22-year wait for the Gulf Cup before the Asian Cup The hosts beat the UAE 2-0 in the final, with both goals inside 13 minutes.